CMT formula reference

Complete CMT Formula Cheat Sheet

Review the formulas most likely to appear in technical analysis, market breadth, portfolio risk, statistics, and trading-system questions across CMT Level I-III.

Moving averages, oscillators, and directional tools

Trend And Momentum Indicators

Use these formulas to identify trend direction, trend strength, overbought or oversold conditions, and momentum confirmation.

10 formulas

Simple Moving Average

Use

Smooths price over a fixed lookback window.

Exam note

Every observation has equal weight. Shorter windows react faster but produce more whipsaws.

Exponential Moving Average

Use

Gives more weight to recent prices.

Exam note

The smoothing factor increases as the lookback period gets shorter.

Momentum

Use

Measures the absolute price change over n periods.

Exam note

Positive momentum confirms upside pressure; negative momentum confirms downside pressure.

Rate Of Change

Use

Converts momentum into a percentage oscillator.

Exam note

ROC is easier to compare across securities than raw price momentum.

Relative Strength Index

Use

Flags momentum extremes and failure swings.

Exam note

Traditional thresholds are 70 for overbought and 30 for oversold, but trend regime matters.

MACD

Use

Compares fast and slow trend measures.

Exam note

The histogram equals MACD minus Signal and often turns before the lines cross.

Stochastic Oscillator

Use

Compares the close with the recent high-low range.

Exam note

Best used in ranges or as a divergence tool; strong trends can stay pinned near extremes.

Williams Percent R

Use

Shows where the close sits inside the recent range.

Exam note

Values near 0 are stronger; values near -100 are weaker.

Commodity Channel Index

Use

Measures how far typical price deviates from its average.

Exam note

The 0.015 constant scales many observations inside the -100 to +100 range.

Directional Movement And ADX

Use

Measures trend strength without saying whether trend is up or down.

Exam note

+DI and -DI come from smoothed directional movement divided by ATR.

Participation and confirmation formulas

Volume, Money Flow, And Breadth

Use volume and breadth formulas to test whether price movement is supported by participation across securities and volume.

12 formulas

On-Balance Volume

Use

Accumulates volume based on up closes and down closes.

Exam note

OBV divergence can warn that price movement lacks volume confirmation.

Volume-Weighted Average Price

Use

Shows the average transaction price weighted by volume.

Exam note

Intraday traders use VWAP as an execution and mean-reversion reference.

Money Flow Index

Use

Combines typical price and volume into an RSI-style oscillator.

Exam note

MFI can diverge from price when volume does not support the latest move.

Accumulation Distribution Line

Use

Measures whether volume closes nearer the high or low of the period.

Exam note

If H equals L, the money flow multiplier is normally treated as zero.

Chaikin Money Flow

Use

Normalizes accumulation and distribution over a lookback window.

Exam note

Positive CMF supports accumulation; negative CMF supports distribution.

Advance-Decline Line

Use

Tracks cumulative market participation.

Exam note

A rising index with a falling A-D line is a classic bearish breadth divergence.

Advance-Decline Ratio

Use

Compares the count of advancing stocks with declining stocks.

Exam note

Use with the absolute A-D spread to avoid overreading small denominators.

Arms Index TRIN

Use

Combines issue breadth and volume breadth.

Exam note

Readings above 1 often show downside pressure; readings below 1 often show upside pressure.

McClellan Oscillator

Use

Measures breadth momentum using the net advances series.

Exam note

The McClellan Summation Index is the cumulative total of the oscillator.

High-Low Index

Use

Measures leadership quality through new highs and new lows.

Exam note

A strong market should show expanding new highs and limited new lows.

Percent Above Moving Average

Use

Shows how broad a trend is across a market universe.

Exam note

Extreme readings can be trend confirmation or exhaustion depending on context.

Put-Call Ratio

Use

Measures option-market sentiment.

Exam note

High readings often indicate fear; low readings often indicate optimism.

Dispersion, range, and envelope formulas

Volatility, Bands, And Channels

These formulas define volatility, price envelopes, and range-based tools that help separate normal fluctuation from breakout risk.

12 formulas

Sample Variance

Use

Measures dispersion around the sample mean.

Exam note

Use n minus 1 for a sample estimate; use n for a full population.

Sample Standard Deviation

Use

Converts variance back into the original unit.

Exam note

Many risk and band formulas use standard deviation as the volatility input.

Bollinger Bands

Use

Creates volatility-adjusted bands around a moving average.

Exam note

The common default is n equals 20 and k equals 2.

Bollinger Percent B

Use

Shows where price sits inside or outside the bands.

Exam note

Values above 1 are above the upper band; values below 0 are below the lower band.

Bollinger Bandwidth

Use

Measures volatility expansion and contraction.

Exam note

Low bandwidth can precede breakouts but does not forecast direction by itself.

True Range

Use

Captures intraperiod range and overnight gaps.

Exam note

True Range is the input used to calculate ATR.

Average True Range

Use

Smooths true range into a volatility measure.

Exam note

This is Wilder smoothing; some charting packages use EMA variants.

Keltner Channels

Use

Builds ATR-based channels around a moving average.

Exam note

Because ATR is range based, Keltner Channels often behave differently from Bollinger Bands.

Donchian Channels

Use

Tracks breakout boundaries using recent highs and lows.

Exam note

Turtle-style systems often use Donchian breakouts for entries and exits.

Historical Volatility

Use

Annualizes daily return volatility.

Exam note

Use N equals 252 for trading days unless a question specifies another convention.

Downside Deviation

Use

Measures volatility below a minimum acceptable return.

Exam note

Sortino ratio uses downside deviation instead of total standard deviation.

Ulcer Index

Use

Measures drawdown depth and duration.

Exam note

Unlike standard deviation, it focuses on downside pain from prior peaks.

Retracements, extensions, pivots, and measured moves

Fibonacci, Price Objectives, And Cycles

These formulas translate chart structure into retracement levels, price objectives, and cycle measurements.

12 formulas

Golden Ratio

Use

Forms the basis for common Fibonacci ratios.

Exam note

Common retracements include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.

Uptrend Retracement Level

Use

Projects pullback levels after an upward swing.

Exam note

For a 61.8% retracement, Ratio equals 0.618.

Downtrend Retracement Level

Use

Projects rally levels after a downward swing.

Exam note

Always define the swing high and swing low before applying the ratio.

Extension Target

Use

Projects continuation targets beyond the prior swing.

Exam note

Common extension ratios include 1.272, 1.618, and 2.618.

Classical Pivot Point

Use

Creates a central reference level from the prior period.

Exam note

Floor-trader support and resistance levels are derived from this pivot.

Pivot Support And Resistance

Use

Projects near-term support and resistance from the pivot.

Exam note

Use prior-period high, low, and close unless a question states otherwise.

Measured Move Target

Use

Projects the price objective from a classical chart pattern.

Exam note

Add height for upside breakouts and subtract height for downside breakouts.

Point And Figure Vertical Count

Use

Projects a target from the height of the relevant P&F column.

Exam note

Use the column specified by the chart method and direction of the breakout.

Point And Figure Horizontal Count

Use

Projects a target from the width of an accumulation or distribution base.

Exam note

Count the base columns consistently with the charting convention in the question.

Cycle Period And Frequency

Use

Converts between cycle length and cycle frequency.

Exam note

Keep units consistent: days, weeks, or months.

Log Return

Use

Measures continuously compounded return.

Exam note

Log returns add across time more cleanly than simple returns.

Required Gain After Loss

Use

Shows how much return is needed to recover from a drawdown.

Exam note

After a 25% loss, the required gain is 0.25 divided by 0.75, or 33.3%.

Probability, dispersion, and market model formulas

Statistics And Regression

These formulas support CMT questions on return distributions, regression, correlation, beta, and hypothesis testing basics.

12 formulas

Arithmetic Mean

Use

Calculates the simple average of observations.

Exam note

Useful for expected one-period return, but it can overstate compound performance.

Geometric Mean Return

Use

Measures compound average growth.

Exam note

Geometric mean is usually lower than arithmetic mean when returns are volatile.

Covariance

Use

Measures how two variables move together.

Exam note

Positive covariance means variables tend to move in the same direction.

Correlation

Use

Standardizes covariance between -1 and +1.

Exam note

Correlation shows direction and strength, not slope size.

Beta

Use

Measures sensitivity to market returns.

Exam note

Beta above 1 means higher market sensitivity; beta below 1 means lower market sensitivity.

CAPM Expected Return

Use

Estimates required return for systematic risk.

Exam note

The market risk premium is expected market return minus risk-free rate.

Alpha

Use

Measures return above or below CAPM expectation.

Exam note

Positive alpha means the return exceeded the beta-adjusted benchmark expectation.

Coefficient Of Determination

Use

Shows explained variance in a single-factor regression.

Exam note

In simple regression, R-squared is the square of correlation.

Standard Error Of Mean

Use

Measures uncertainty around a sample mean.

Exam note

Standard error falls as sample size increases.

Z-Score

Use

Standardizes an observation against a known population mean and standard deviation.

Exam note

A z-score shows how many standard deviations an observation is from the mean.

T-Statistic

Use

Tests a sample mean when population standard deviation is unknown.

Exam note

Use t-distribution degrees of freedom n minus 1.

Coefficient Of Variation

Use

Compares risk per unit of mean return.

Exam note

Lower CV indicates less dispersion per unit of average return.

Performance, risk-adjusted return, and downside measures

Portfolio And Risk Metrics

Use these formulas for portfolio return, risk attribution, benchmark comparison, and risk-adjusted performance.

12 formulas

Portfolio Return

Use

Calculates weighted average portfolio return.

Exam note

Weights should sum to 1 unless the portfolio includes leverage or cash treatment specified in the question.

Two-Asset Portfolio Variance

Use

Measures risk for a two-asset portfolio.

Exam note

Diversification benefit increases as correlation falls.

Sharpe Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of total volatility.

Exam note

Best suited when total risk is the relevant risk measure.

Sortino Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of downside volatility.

Exam note

MAR means minimum acceptable return.

Treynor Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of systematic risk.

Exam note

Most relevant for diversified portfolios where beta risk dominates.

Information Ratio

Use

Measures active return per unit of active risk.

Exam note

Higher IR indicates more efficient benchmark-relative performance.

Tracking Error

Use

Measures volatility of active return versus a benchmark.

Exam note

Benchmark-relative managers often focus on tracking error and information ratio together.

Jensen Alpha

Use

Measures realized portfolio return above CAPM expectation.

Exam note

Jensen alpha is beta-adjusted performance.

Calmar Ratio

Use

Compares return with maximum drawdown.

Exam note

Use maximum drawdown as a positive number in the denominator.

Maximum Drawdown

Use

Measures the largest peak-to-trough loss.

Exam note

Drawdowns are often reported as negative percentages, but ratios usually use the absolute value.

Parametric Value At Risk

Use

Estimates loss at a confidence level under a normal-return assumption.

Exam note

Check whether the question asks for daily, monthly, or annual VaR.

Expected Shortfall

Use

Measures expected loss beyond the VaR threshold.

Exam note

Expected shortfall captures tail severity better than VaR alone.

Risk per trade, expectancy, and system quality

Trading System And Position Sizing

These formulas turn signal quality into capital allocation, trade risk, and repeatable system evaluation.

10 formulas

Dollar Risk Per Trade

Use

Defines the dollar amount that can be lost if the stop is hit.

Exam note

This should be set before calculating number of shares or contracts.

Position Size

Use

Converts account risk into share count for a long trade.

Exam note

For short trades, use the absolute distance between entry and stop.

Kelly Criterion

Use

Estimates optimal fraction to wager based on edge and payoff.

Exam note

Many practitioners use fractional Kelly because full Kelly can be volatile.

Trade Expectancy

Use

Measures expected profit or loss per trade.

Exam note

A system can be profitable with a low win rate if payoff ratio is high enough.

Profit Factor

Use

Compares total winning trade profit with total losing trade loss.

Exam note

Use gross loss as a positive number in the denominator.

Payoff Ratio

Use

Compares average winning trade size with average losing trade size.

Exam note

Pair payoff ratio with win rate; neither tells the full story alone.

Breakeven Win Rate

Use

Finds the win rate needed to break even before costs.

Exam note

Transaction costs raise the required breakeven win rate.

R-Multiple

Use

Normalizes trade result by initial risk for a long trade.

Exam note

Use absolute risk distance and reverse the price signs for short trades.

System Quality Number

Use

Evaluates trade distribution quality using R-multiples.

Exam note

SQN improves when average R rises, dispersion falls, or sample size grows.

Compound Annual Growth Rate

Use

Measures annualized compound return.

Exam note

CAGR smooths the path and does not show drawdown or volatility by itself.

Turn formulas into exam points

Memorizing formulas is only half the work. Practice the exhibit-based questions where these calculations appear with charts, volume tables, risk metrics, and portfolio scenarios.

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