CMT formula reference

Core CMT Formula Sheet

Review core formulas tied to the published 2026 learning objectives, plus a few clearly labeled supplemental practitioner measures. Always follow the convention stated in a question.

Reviewed . Original study reference; not an official exam formula handout.

Check the official 2026 CMT Program Guide

Worked examples: calculate, then interpret

Try each calculation before opening the answer. Use decimals for returns (5% = 0.05), match time horizons, and follow the smoothing convention stated in the question.

Size a trade from its stop

A $50,000 account risks 1% on a long trade entered at $100 with a $96 stop. Ignore costs and assume the stop fills at its stated price. What is the maximum whole-share position?

Show calculation and common mistake

125 shares. The stop distance is $4 per share, so planned loss is $500. Position value is $12,500, not $500. Slippage, gaps, fees, and leverage constraints can require a smaller position; a stop does not guarantee the realized loss.

Practice this topic →

Measure drawdown from a prior peak

A portfolio moves from $100,000 to $120,000, falls to $90,000, and then recovers to $110,000. What is its maximum drawdown?

Show calculation and common mistake

25%. Divide the $30,000 fall by the preceding $120,000 peak, not the initial account value or the trough. A 33.33% gain from the $90,000 trough would restore the peak; a 25% gain would not.

Practice this topic →

Convert VIX into a horizon estimate

With VIX at 20 and the index at 5,000, estimate a 30-calendar-day volatility range using a 365-day year and constant volatility.

Show calculation and common mistake

Approximately ±5.73%, or ±287 index points. This is a rough one-standard-deviation range under the stated assumptions, not a directional target or a guaranteed probability interval. The one-twelfth-year shortcut gives ±5.77%; do not mix calendar and trading-day conventions.

Practice this topic →

Update Wilder RSI

For a 14-period RSI, yesterday’s smoothed average gain and loss were 1.2 and 0.8. Today the close rises by 0.7. What is the updated RSI?

Show calculation and common mistake

Approximately 61.05. Today’s gain is 0.7 and loss is zero, but the smoothed average loss remains positive. Replacing the smoothed loss with zero would incorrectly force RSI to 100. Initialize the first averages from the first 14 price changes.

Practice this topic →
Moving averages, oscillators, and directional tools

Trend And Momentum Indicators

Use these formulas to identify trend direction, trend strength, overbought or oversold conditions, and momentum confirmation.

11 formulas

Simple Moving Average

Use

Smooths price over a fixed lookback window.

Exam note

Every observation has equal weight. Shorter windows react faster but produce more whipsaws.

Exponential Moving Average

Use

Gives more weight to recent prices.

Exam note

The smoothing factor increases as the lookback period gets shorter.

Linearly Weighted Moving Average

Use

Weights the newest observation most heavily, then reduces weight linearly.

Exam note

The newest price receives weight n and the oldest receives weight 1.

Momentum

Use

Measures the absolute price change over n periods.

Exam note

Positive momentum confirms upside pressure; negative momentum confirms downside pressure.

Rate Of Change

Use

Converts momentum into a percentage oscillator.

Exam note

ROC is easier to compare across securities than raw price momentum.

Relative Strength Index

Use

Flags momentum extremes and failure swings.

Exam note

After the initial seed, average gain and loss use Wilder smoothing (alpha = 1/n). Traditional 70/30 thresholds remain context dependent.

MACD

Use

Compares fast and slow trend measures.

Exam note

The histogram equals MACD minus Signal and often turns before the lines cross.

Stochastic Oscillator

Use

Compares the close with the recent high-low range.

Exam note

Best used in ranges or as a divergence tool; strong trends can stay pinned near extremes.

Williams Percent R

Use

Shows where the close sits inside the recent range.

Exam note

Values near 0 are stronger; values near -100 are weaker.

Commodity Channel Index

Use

Measures how far typical price deviates from its average.

Exam note

MD is the mean absolute deviation of typical price. The 0.015 constant scales many observations inside the -100 to +100 range.

Directional Movement And ADX

Use

Measures trend strength without saying whether trend is up or down.

Exam note

Standard ADX uses Wilder smoothing, commonly with n = 14. DI+ and DI- come from smoothed directional movement divided by ATR.

Participation and confirmation formulas

Volume, Money Flow, And Breadth

Use volume and breadth formulas to test whether price movement is supported by participation across securities and volume.

13 formulas

On-Balance Volume

Use

Accumulates volume based on up closes and down closes.

Exam note

OBV divergence can warn that price movement lacks volume confirmation.

Volume-Weighted Average Price

Use

Shows the average transaction price weighted by volume.

Exam note

Intraday traders use VWAP as an execution and mean-reversion reference.

Money Flow Index

Use

Combines typical price and volume into an RSI-style oscillator.

Exam note

Positive and negative flows are classified by whether typical price rises or falls. MFI can diverge when volume does not support price.

Accumulation Distribution Line

Use

Measures whether volume closes nearer the high or low of the period.

Exam note

If H equals L, the money flow multiplier is normally treated as zero.

Chaikin Money Flow

Use

Normalizes accumulation and distribution over a lookback window.

Exam note

Positive CMF supports accumulation; negative CMF supports distribution.

Advance-Decline Line

Use

Tracks cumulative market participation.

Exam note

A rising index with a falling A-D line is a classic bearish breadth divergence.

Advance-Decline Ratio

Use

Compares the count of advancing stocks with declining stocks.

Exam note

Use with the absolute A-D spread to avoid overreading small denominators.

Arms Index TRIN

Use

Combines issue breadth and volume breadth.

Exam note

Readings above 1 often show downside pressure; readings below 1 often show upside pressure.

McClellan Oscillator

Use

Measures breadth momentum using the net advances series.

Exam note

The McClellan Summation Index is the cumulative total of the oscillator.

High-Low Index

Use

Measures leadership quality through new highs and new lows.

Exam note

The conventional High-Low Index smooths the daily new-high percentage with a 10-day SMA.

Percent Above Moving Average

Use

Shows how broad a trend is across a market universe.

Exam note

Extreme readings can be trend confirmation or exhaustion depending on context.

Put-Call Ratio

Use

Measures option-market sentiment.

Exam note

High readings often indicate fear; low readings often indicate optimism.

Short Interest Ratio

Use

Compares outstanding short positions with normal trading liquidity.

Exam note

A high ratio indicates heavy short interest and more days needed to cover; interpret it with trend and sentiment context.

Dispersion, range, and envelope formulas

Volatility, Bands, And Channels

These formulas define volatility, price envelopes, and range-based tools that help separate normal fluctuation from breakout risk.

13 formulas

Sample Variance

Use

Measures dispersion around the sample mean.

Exam note

Use n minus 1 for a sample estimate; use n for a full population.

Sample Standard Deviation

Use

Converts variance back into the original unit.

Exam note

Many risk and band formulas use standard deviation as the volatility input.

Bollinger Bands

Use

Creates volatility-adjusted bands around a moving average.

Exam note

The common default is n equals 20 and k equals 2.

Bollinger Percent B

Use

Shows where price sits inside or outside the bands.

Exam note

Values above 1 are above the upper band; values below 0 are below the lower band.

Bollinger Bandwidth

Use

Measures volatility expansion and contraction.

Exam note

Low bandwidth can precede breakouts but does not forecast direction by itself.

True Range

Use

Captures intraperiod range and overnight gaps.

Exam note

True Range is the input used to calculate ATR.

Average True Range

Use

Smooths true range into a volatility measure.

Exam note

This is Wilder smoothing; some charting packages use EMA variants.

Keltner Channels

Use

Builds range-based channels around a moving average.

Exam note

Keltner’s original method uses typical price and high-low range. Modern platforms often use EMA_n plus or minus m times ATR_n; state the convention.

Donchian Channels

Use

Tracks breakout boundaries using recent highs and lows.

Exam note

Turtle-style systems often use Donchian breakouts for entries and exits.

Historical Volatility

Use

Annualizes daily return volatility.

Exam note

Use N equals 252 for trading days unless a question specifies another convention.

VIX Expected Move And Price Range

Use

Scales annualized implied volatility into an approximate horizon move and price range.

Exam note

For N trading days. A VIX of 20 implies about 5.77% over 30 calendar days (roughly 21 trading days). This is a volatility range, not a directional forecast.

Downside Deviation

Use

Measures volatility below a minimum acceptable return.

Exam note

This common convention divides by all n observations, with upside deviations counted as zero. Use a specified alternative convention when a question supplies one.

Ulcer Index

Use

Measures drawdown depth and duration.

Exam note

Supplemental: not named in the published 2026 LOS. Unlike standard deviation, it focuses on downside pain from prior peaks.

Retracements, extensions, pivots, and measured moves

Fibonacci, Price Objectives, And Cycles

These formulas translate chart structure into retracement levels, price objectives, and cycle measurements.

14 formulas

Golden Ratio

Use

Forms the basis for common Fibonacci ratios.

Exam note

Common retracements include 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.

Uptrend Retracement Level

Use

Projects pullback levels after an upward swing.

Exam note

For a 61.8% retracement, Ratio equals 0.618.

Downtrend Retracement Level

Use

Projects rally levels after a downward swing.

Exam note

Always define the swing high and swing low before applying the ratio.

Extension Target

Use

Projects continuation targets beyond the prior swing.

Exam note

Define the anchor explicitly—typically the retracement low in an uptrend or retracement high in a downtrend. Common ratios include 1.272 and 1.618.

Classical Pivot Point

Use

Creates a central reference level from the prior period.

Exam note

Floor-trader support and resistance levels are derived from this pivot.

Pivot Support And Resistance

Use

Projects near-term support and resistance from the pivot.

Exam note

Use prior-period high, low, and close unless a question states otherwise.

Measured Move Target

Use

Projects the price objective from a classical chart pattern.

Exam note

Add height for upside breakouts and subtract height for downside breakouts.

Point And Figure Vertical Count

Use

Projects a target from the height of the relevant P&F column.

Exam note

Fixed-box vertical-count convention: B is box size and M is the specified projection multiplier (often the reversal amount; some bearish methods use a different multiplier). Anchor at the selected count column low for a bullish count or high for a bearish count, not automatically at the breakout price. Follow the count method supplied in the question.

Point And Figure Horizontal Count

Use

Projects a target from the width of an accumulation or distribution base.

Exam note

This fixed-box convention anchors at the base low for a bullish count and the base high for a bearish count. B is box size; M is the specified multiplier. Horizontal-count methods differ in count line, boundaries, anchor, and multiplier, so use the question’s convention. Percentage box scaling requires its own method.

Cycle Period And Frequency

Use

Converts between cycle length and cycle frequency.

Exam note

Keep units consistent: days, weeks, or months.

Breakout Confirmation Thresholds

Use

Compares a 3% price filter with a volatility-scaled ATR filter.

Exam note

R is resistance, S is support, and k is the chosen ATR multiplier. Apply the threshold in the intended breakout direction. The two filters can disagree; neither guarantees continuation. Use the rule specified in the question.

Centered Moving Average Envelope

Use

Centers a smoothing window on the cycle midpoint and places percentage bands around it.

Exam note

The formula shows an odd-length window; even-length moving averages require a second centering step. Centering uses future observations and is not a real-time signal.

Log Return

Use

Measures continuously compounded return.

Exam note

Log returns add across time more cleanly than simple returns.

Required Gain After Loss

Use

Shows how much return is needed to recover from a drawdown.

Exam note

After a 25% loss, the required gain is 0.25 divided by 0.75, or 33.3%.

Probability, dispersion, and market model formulas

Statistics And Regression

These formulas support CMT questions on return distributions, regression, correlation, beta, and hypothesis testing basics.

14 formulas

Arithmetic Mean

Use

Calculates the simple average of observations.

Exam note

Useful for expected one-period return, but it can overstate compound performance.

Simple Linear Regression

Use

Fits a least-squares line with one predictor and an intercept.

Exam note

The fitted line passes through the sample means. X must have nonzero variance. Use consistent sample or population conventions in covariance and variance; R-squared measures fit, not causation.

Interquartile Range And Outlier Fences

Use

Flags observations outside quartile-based screening fences.

Exam note

Use the quartile convention specified by the dataset or question. A flagged observation is not automatically an error and should not be deleted without investigation.

Geometric Mean Return

Use

Measures compound average growth.

Exam note

Geometric mean is usually lower than arithmetic mean when returns are volatile.

Covariance

Use

Measures how two variables move together.

Exam note

Positive covariance means variables tend to move in the same direction.

Correlation

Use

Standardizes covariance between -1 and +1.

Exam note

Correlation shows direction and strength, not slope size.

Beta

Use

Measures sensitivity to market returns.

Exam note

Beta above 1 means higher market sensitivity; beta below 1 means lower market sensitivity.

CAPM Expected Return

Use

Estimates required return for systematic risk.

Exam note

The market risk premium is expected market return minus risk-free rate.

Alpha

Use

Measures return above or below CAPM expectation.

Exam note

Positive alpha means the return exceeded the beta-adjusted benchmark expectation.

Coefficient Of Determination

Use

Shows explained variance in a single-factor regression.

Exam note

In simple regression, R-squared is the square of correlation.

Standard Error Of Mean

Use

Measures uncertainty around a sample mean.

Exam note

Standard error falls as sample size increases.

Z-Score

Use

Standardizes an observation against a known population mean and standard deviation.

Exam note

A z-score shows how many standard deviations an observation is from the mean.

T-Statistic

Use

Tests a sample mean when population standard deviation is unknown.

Exam note

Use t-distribution degrees of freedom n minus 1.

Coefficient Of Variation

Use

Compares risk per unit of mean return.

Exam note

Lower CV indicates less dispersion per unit of average return.

Performance, risk-adjusted return, and downside measures

Portfolio And Risk Metrics

Use these formulas for portfolio return, risk attribution, benchmark comparison, and risk-adjusted performance.

15 formulas

Portfolio Return

Use

Calculates weighted average portfolio return.

Exam note

Weights should sum to 1 unless the portfolio includes leverage or cash treatment specified in the question.

Relative Strength Price Ratio

Use

Tracks relative performance against a selected benchmark.

Exam note

A rising ratio indicates outperformance, even when both prices fall. Compare aligned dates and consistent currency and dividend conventions. This ratio is not RSI, and its raw level is not comparable across arbitrary price scales.

Index Weighting Methods

Use

Distinguishes price-weighted, capitalization-weighted, and equal-weighted construction.

Exam note

D denotes the index divisor, adjusted for relevant corporate actions. S denotes eligible shares (free-float adjusted where required). Equal weights apply at rebalancing and drift as prices change; index return depends on constituent weights and returns.

Two-Asset Portfolio Variance

Use

Measures risk for a two-asset portfolio.

Exam note

Diversification benefit increases as correlation falls.

Sharpe Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of total volatility.

Exam note

Best suited when total risk is the relevant risk measure.

Sortino Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of downside volatility.

Exam note

MAR means minimum acceptable return.

Treynor Ratio

Use

Measures excess return per unit of systematic risk.

Exam note

Most relevant for diversified portfolios where beta risk dominates.

Information Ratio

Use

Measures active return per unit of active risk.

Exam note

Higher IR indicates more efficient benchmark-relative performance.

Tracking Error

Use

Measures volatility of active return versus a benchmark.

Exam note

Benchmark-relative managers often focus on tracking error and information ratio together.

Jensen Alpha

Use

Measures realized portfolio return above CAPM expectation.

Exam note

Jensen alpha is beta-adjusted performance.

Calmar Ratio

Use

Compares return with maximum drawdown.

Exam note

Use maximum drawdown as a positive number in the denominator.

Maximum Drawdown

Use

Measures the largest peak-to-trough loss as a positive magnitude.

Exam note

A drawdown series may be plotted as negative returns, but Calmar and similar ratios use positive maximum-drawdown magnitude.

Parametric Value At Risk

Use

Estimates loss at a confidence level under a normal-return assumption.

Exam note

This is absolute VaR with positive z alpha (for example 1.645 at 95%). Relative VaR omits mean return. Match return, volatility, and horizon units.

Expected Shortfall

Use

Measures expected loss beyond the VaR threshold.

Exam note

Expected shortfall captures tail severity better than VaR alone.

Fusion Analysis Relationship

Use

Links price with fundamentals, valuation, and sentiment in the Level III fusion framework.

Exam note

This is a conceptual relationship rather than a calibrated pricing equation: price strength reflects the combined effect of fundamentals, valuation change, and sentiment.

Risk per trade, expectancy, and system quality

Trading System And Position Sizing

These formulas turn signal quality into capital allocation, trade risk, and repeatable system evaluation.

11 formulas

Dollar Risk Per Trade

Use

Defines the dollar amount that can be lost if the stop is hit.

Exam note

This should be set before calculating number of shares or contracts.

Position Size

Use

Converts account risk into shares or contracts for either trade direction.

Exam note

For shares, PointValue is normally 1. Include contract multipliers, fees, and slippage when the question specifies them.

Reward-To-Risk Ratio

Use

Compares planned profit distance with initial loss distance before entry.

Exam note

Use directionally valid targets and stops; a 3-to-1 setup has three units of planned reward for each unit of risk.

Kelly Criterion

Use

Estimates optimal fraction to wager based on edge and payoff.

Exam note

Supplemental: not named in the published 2026 LOS. Many practitioners use fractional Kelly because full Kelly can be volatile.

Trade Expectancy

Use

Measures expected profit or loss per trade.

Exam note

A system can be profitable with a low win rate if payoff ratio is high enough.

Profit Factor

Use

Compares total winning trade profit with total losing trade loss.

Exam note

Use gross loss as a positive number in the denominator.

Payoff Ratio

Use

Compares average winning trade size with average losing trade size.

Exam note

Pair payoff ratio with win rate; neither tells the full story alone.

Breakeven Win Rate

Use

Finds the win rate needed to break even before costs.

Exam note

Transaction costs raise the required breakeven win rate.

R-Multiple

Use

Normalizes trade result by initial risk for a long trade.

Exam note

Use absolute risk distance and reverse the price signs for short trades.

System Quality Number

Use

Evaluates trade distribution quality using R-multiples.

Exam note

Supplemental: not named in the published 2026 LOS. SQN improves when average R rises, dispersion falls, or sample size grows.

Compound Annual Growth Rate

Use

Measures annualized compound return.

Exam note

CAGR smooths the path and does not show drawdown or volatility by itself.

Turn formulas into exam points

Memorizing formulas is only half the work. Practice the exhibit-based questions where these calculations appear with charts, volume tables, risk metrics, and portfolio scenarios.

Start Free Practice